YEARLY HIGH
14.8961 KES
YEARLY LOW
14.5371 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
14.7150 KES

2016 BOB to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BOB to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 27, valuing the pair at 14.8961. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 7, dropping to 14.5371.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3590 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.8167 to the December average rate of 14.7623, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.37% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 14.8961 was down 3.00% compared to the 2015 peak of 15.3575, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BOB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 74,480 KES
2015 Average 71,135 KES
Yearly Trough Low 72,686 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,794.77 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

14.8609
14.5851
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BOB to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 14.7435, compared to 14.6865 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0570 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 14.7435
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 14.6865

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was April, with a trading range of 0.2789 KES (High: 14.8956 / Low: 14.6167). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0815 KES (High: 14.6962 / Low: 14.6147).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.2789
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0815

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1150 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1150

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2016: 14.8379) against the same month in 2015 (average: 13.2816), the exchange rate shifted by +1.5563 (+11.72%).

2016 Avg (March) 14.8379
2015 Avg (March) 13.2816

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 14.8653 14.7689 14.8167
February 14.8690 14.7384 14.7914
March 14.8961 14.7783 14.8379
April 14.8956 14.6167 14.7231
May 14.6525 14.5371 14.6081
June 14.7194 14.6254 14.6835
July 14.7463 14.6321 14.6962
August 14.6962 14.6147 14.6574
September 14.6758 14.5870 14.6378
October 14.7146 14.6113 14.6535
November 14.7597 14.6573 14.7117
December 14.8354 14.6398 14.7623