2012 BOB to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

12.6780 KES

YEARLY LOW

11.8739 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

12.1671 KES

2012 BOB to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the BOB to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 12.6780. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 14, dropping to 11.8739.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8042 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.4893 to the December average rate of 12.3044, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.48% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 12.6780 was down 16.95% compared to the 2011 peak of 15.2649, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BOB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 63,390 KES

2011 Average 63,696 KES

Yearly Trough Low 59,369 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,020.95 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

12.5374

11.9597

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BOB to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.1707, compared to 12.1636 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0071 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.1707

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.1636

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.5472 KES (High: 12.6780 / Low: 12.1308). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0463 KES (High: 12.2085 / Low: 12.1622).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.5472

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0463

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.4445 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4445

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 12.4893) against the same month in 2011 (average: 11.5860), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9033 (+7.80%).

2012 Avg (January) 12.4893

2011 Avg (January) 11.5860

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	12.6780	12.1308	12.4893
February	12.1452	11.9778	12.0448
March	12.0786	11.8739	12.0078
April	12.0983	12.0146	12.0590
May	12.4642	12.0360	12.1992
June	12.5200	12.0410	12.2242
July	12.1489	11.9993	12.0698
August	12.1106	11.9959	12.0422
September	12.2620	12.0456	12.1303
October	12.2085	12.1622	12.1861
November	12.3194	12.1954	12.2486
December	12.3641	12.2530	12.3044