2012 BRL to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

104.4975 DJF

YEARLY LOW

83.4404 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

91.6733 DJF

2012 BRL to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the BRL to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 24, valuing the pair at 104.4975. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 1, dropping to 83.4404.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 21.0571 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 99.6451 to the December average rate of 85.4454, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.25% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 104.4975 was down 9.73% compared to the 2011 peak of 115.7657, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 BRL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,612,436 DJF

2011 Average 2,663,573 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 2,086,010 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 526,426.55 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

105.5410

83.6185

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BRL to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 96.2559, compared to 87.0908 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 9.1651 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 96.2559

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 87.0908

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 7.8598 DJF (High: 94.3928 / Low: 86.5330). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.3824 DJF (High: 88.6012 / Low: 87.2188).

May Spread (Volatile) ±7.8598

September Spread (Stable) ±1.3824

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 6.1660 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -6.1660

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2012: 103.7141) against the same month in 2011 (average: 106.6034), the exchange rate shifted by -2.8892 (-2.71%).

2012 Avg (February) 103.7141

2011 Avg (February) 106.6034

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	102.5347	95.5546	99.6451
February	104.4975	102.4997	103.7141
March	103.3685	97.6496	99.7607
April	98.5096	94.4392	96.5955
May	94.3928	86.5330	90.4295
June	88.4856	85.9733	87.3903
July	89.3524	86.6731	87.7173
August	88.4711	87.0341	87.8054
September	88.6012	87.2188	87.8373
October	88.1337	86.7375	87.6071
November	87.6002	84.1697	86.1321
December	86.9387	83.4404	85.4454