YEARLY HIGH
81.3836 DJF
YEARLY LOW
65.5448 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
76.0806 DJF

2014 BRL to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the BRL to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 9, valuing the pair at 81.3836. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 65.5448.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 15.8388 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 74.8561 to the December average rate of 67.4403, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.91% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 81.3836 was down 10.84% compared to the 2013 peak of 91.2749, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 BRL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,034,589 DJF
2013 Average 2,064,160 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 1,638,619 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 395,970.06 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

81.8064
66.1343
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BRL to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 77.7824, compared to 74.3789 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.4035 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 77.7824
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 74.3789

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was September, with a trading range of 7.1206 DJF (High: 79.9569 / Low: 72.8363). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.5766 DJF (High: 81.1734 / Low: 79.5968).

September Spread (Volatile) ±7.1206
May Spread (Stable) ±1.5766

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 3.6410 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.6410

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2014: 79.9967) against the same month in 2013 (average: 88.6585), the exchange rate shifted by -8.6618 (-9.77%).

2014 Avg (April) 79.9967
2013 Avg (April) 88.6585

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 76.1440 73.0985 74.8561
February 76.8813 73.0299 74.7505
March 78.6759 75.2829 76.5479
April 81.3836 78.0768 79.9967
May 81.1734 79.5968 80.5004
June 81.3454 78.5475 80.0427
July 81.0619 79.1225 80.3747
August 79.8036 78.0261 78.9002
September 79.9569 72.8363 76.5480
October 74.6369 71.3720 72.9070
November 72.1230 68.2153 70.1030
December 69.7812 65.5448 67.4403