YEARLY HIGH
48.8585 DJF
YEARLY LOW
38.8058 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
45.1849 DJF

2019 BRL to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BRL to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 48.8585. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 22, dropping to 38.8058.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 10.0526 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 47.3584 to the December average rate of 43.3331, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.50% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 48.8585 was down 13.76% compared to the 2018 peak of 56.6545, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 BRL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,221,462 DJF
2018 Average 1,224,716 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 970,145 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 251,316.16 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

48.3651
42.3391
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BRL to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 46.2993, compared to 44.0705 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.2289 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 46.2993
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 44.0705

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 10.0526 DJF (High: 48.8585 / Low: 38.8058). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.2475 DJF (High: 46.6048 / Low: 45.3573).

January Spread (Volatile) ±10.0526
June Spread (Stable) ±1.2475

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 2.8222 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.8222

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 47.3584) against the same month in 2018 (average: 55.7117), the exchange rate shifted by -8.3533 (-14.99%).

2019 Avg (January) 47.3584
2018 Avg (January) 55.7117

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 48.8585 38.8058 47.3584
February 48.6636 47.2386 47.8629
March 47.1581 44.5830 46.3042
April 46.5300 44.6055 45.6576
May 45.3989 43.4385 44.5334
June 46.6048 45.3573 46.0794
July 47.8636 46.3035 47.1179
August 46.3817 42.7011 44.2956
September 43.8504 42.5357 43.2125
October 44.6498 42.5897 43.6223
November 44.6160 41.7429 42.8413
December 44.2984 42.0070 43.3331