YEARLY HIGH
56.9860 DJF
YEARLY LOW
42.8923 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
51.2444 DJF

2016 BRL to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BRL to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 25, valuing the pair at 56.9860. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 42.8923.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 14.0937 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 43.9546 to the December average rate of 53.2033, the exchange rate registered a net change of 21.04% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 56.9860 was down 17.60% compared to the 2015 peak of 69.1597, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 BRL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,424,651 DJF
2015 Average 1,354,368 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 1,072,308 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 352,342.24 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

56.7898
42.7878
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BRL to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 48.1654, compared to 54.3233 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 6.1579 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 48.1654
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 54.3233

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 5.7012 DJF (High: 55.0115 / Low: 49.3104). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.8418 DJF (High: 45.6514 / Low: 43.8096).

June Spread (Volatile) ±5.7012
February Spread (Stable) ±1.8418

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 2.4807 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.4807

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2016: 55.6230) against the same month in 2015 (average: 45.8235), the exchange rate shifted by +9.7995 (+21.39%).

2016 Avg (October) 55.6230
2015 Avg (October) 45.8235

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 44.9456 42.8923 43.9546
February 45.6514 43.8096 44.7539
March 49.5336 45.0573 48.1538
April 51.6189 48.2099 50.0356
May 51.7496 49.2278 50.2004
June 55.0115 49.3104 51.8941
July 54.8845 52.8250 54.1572
August 56.5645 54.2571 55.2863
September 55.4078 53.1698 54.5278
October 56.9860 54.4748 55.6230
November 55.8620 51.7592 53.1422
December 54.8827 50.6191 53.2033