YEARLY HIGH
56.6545 DJF
YEARLY LOW
42.3145 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
49.0177 DJF

2018 BRL to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BRL to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 24, valuing the pair at 56.6545. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 13, dropping to 42.3145.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 14.3400 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 55.7117 to the December average rate of 45.7594, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.86% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 56.6545 was down 3.19% compared to the 2017 peak of 58.5195, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 BRL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,416,362 DJF
2017 Average 1,400,665 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 1,057,861 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 358,500.94 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

56.9366
42.2384
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BRL to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 52.0664, compared to 45.9689 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 6.0974 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 52.0664
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 45.9689

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 5.1663 DJF (High: 48.0720 / Low: 42.9056). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9346 DJF (High: 46.3312 / Low: 45.3966).

August Spread (Volatile) ±5.1663
December Spread (Stable) ±0.9346

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 2.9861 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.9861

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 55.7117) against the same month in 2017 (average: 55.9110), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1992 (-0.36%).

2018 Avg (January) 55.7117
2017 Avg (January) 55.9110

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 56.6545 53.9078 55.7117
February 56.3566 53.6956 54.6822
March 55.1799 53.2177 53.9982
April 53.5645 50.4377 51.9240
May 50.4362 47.5082 48.9379
June 48.0247 45.6280 47.1443
July 48.1659 45.2707 46.6087
August 48.0720 42.9056 45.4609
September 44.3649 42.3145 43.4632
October 48.8675 44.3153 47.3854
November 48.1706 45.1639 47.1361
December 46.3312 45.3966 45.7594