2011 BTN to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6863 RUB

YEARLY LOW

0.5889 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6310 RUB

2011 BTN to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the BTN to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 0.6863. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 26, dropping to 0.5889.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0974 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6649 to the December average rate of 0.6006, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.67% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.6863 was down 1.99% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.7003, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,432 RUB

2010 Average 3,324 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 2,945 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 486.82 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.6713

0.5942

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6365, compared to 0.6254 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0111 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6365

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6254

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 0.0573 RUB (High: 0.6647 / Low: 0.6073). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0115 RUB (High: 0.6355 / Low: 0.6240).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0573

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0115

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0274 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0274

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 0.6649) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.6499), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0150 (+2.31%).

2011 Avg (January) 0.6649

2010 Avg (January) 0.6499

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6863	0.6487	0.6649
February	0.6499	0.6350	0.6438
March	0.6381	0.6257	0.6321
April	0.6413	0.6205	0.6323
May	0.6320	0.6106	0.6221
June	0.6315	0.6176	0.6238
July	0.6355	0.6240	0.6283
August	0.6599	0.6247	0.6354
September	0.6569	0.6333	0.6452
October	0.6647	0.6073	0.6352
November	0.6301	0.5908	0.6078
December	0.6083	0.5889	0.6006