2014 BTN to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0813 RUB

YEARLY LOW

0.5314 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6308 RUB

2014 BTN to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the BTN to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 1.0813. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 0.5314.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5499 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5430 to the December average rate of 0.8964, the exchange rate registered a net change of 65.09% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1.0813 was up 84.43% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.5863, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,407 RUB

2013 Average 2,727 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 2,657 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,749.58 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.9318

0.5077

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5762, compared to 0.6854 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1092 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5762

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6854

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 0.2714 RUB (High: 1.0813 / Low: 0.8099). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0132 RUB (High: 0.5953 / Low: 0.5822).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.2714

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0132

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0122 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0122

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 0.8964) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.5309), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3656 (+68.87%).

2014 Avg (December) 0.8964

2013 Avg (December) 0.5309

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.5608	0.5314	0.5430
February	0.5815	0.5561	0.5666
March	0.5986	0.5814	0.5930
April	0.6005	0.5856	0.5912
May	0.5953	0.5822	0.5878
June	0.5918	0.5604	0.5756
July	0.5927	0.5668	0.5784
August	0.6118	0.5849	0.5945
September	0.6414	0.6109	0.6249
October	0.7017	0.6423	0.6662
November	0.8053	0.7009	0.7518
December	1.0813	0.8099	0.8964