2015 BTN to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.1281 RUB

YEARLY LOW

0.7749 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9546 RUB

2015 BTN to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the BTN to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 1.1281. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 18, dropping to 0.7749.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3532 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0305 to the December average rate of 1.0524, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.12% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 1.1281 was up 4.32% compared to the 2014 peak of 1.0813, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,640 RUB

2014 Average 3,156 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 3,875 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,765.88 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

1.0780

0.7707

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9217, compared to 0.9876 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0658 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9217

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9876

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 0.1955 RUB (High: 1.1251 / Low: 0.9296). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0467 RUB (High: 1.0319 / Low: 0.9852).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1955

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0467

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1178 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1178

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2015: 1.0365) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.5666), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4700 (+82.95%).

2015 Avg (February) 1.0365

2014 Avg (February) 0.5666

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.1251	0.9296	1.0305
February	1.1281	0.9882	1.0365
March	1.0076	0.9156	0.9634
April	0.9222	0.7996	0.8457
May	0.8223	0.7749	0.7963
June	0.8832	0.8291	0.8578
July	0.9551	0.8733	0.9012
August	1.0617	0.9591	1.0059
September	1.0319	0.9852	1.0101
October	1.0092	0.9463	0.9701
November	1.0165	0.9587	0.9857
December	1.1050	1.0002	1.0524