2018 BTN to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.9943 RUB

YEARLY LOW

0.8590 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9179 RUB

2018 BTN to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BTN to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 30, valuing the pair at 0.9943. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 26, dropping to 0.8590.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1353 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8905 to the December average rate of 0.9572, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.48% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.9943 was down 2.12% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.0158, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,971 RUB

2017 Average 4,482 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 4,295 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 676.29 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.9650

0.8707

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9046, compared to 0.9312 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0265 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9046

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9312

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.0906 RUB (High: 0.9685 / Low: 0.8779). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0199 RUB (High: 0.9072 / Low: 0.8872).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0906

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0199

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0432 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0432

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 0.9572) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.9116), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0456 (+5.00%).

2018 Avg (December) 0.9572

2017 Avg (December) 0.9116

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9062	0.8800	0.8905
February	0.9082	0.8590	0.8834
March	0.8900	0.8672	0.8786
April	0.9685	0.8779	0.9254
May	0.9570	0.8989	0.9237
June	0.9350	0.9146	0.9263
July	0.9274	0.8976	0.9152
August	0.9853	0.9199	0.9550
September	0.9742	0.9027	0.9383
October	0.9072	0.8872	0.8951
November	0.9629	0.8944	0.9263
December	0.9943	0.9225	0.9572