2012 BTN to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6345 RUB

YEARLY LOW

0.5528 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.5902 RUB

2012 BTN to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the BTN to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 24, valuing the pair at 0.6345. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 3, dropping to 0.5528.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0817 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6125 to the December average rate of 0.5620, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.24% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.6345 was down 7.55% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.6863, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,173 RUB

2011 Average 3,154 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 2,764 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 408.47 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.6270

0.5561

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5877, compared to 0.5927 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0050 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5877

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5927

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was September, with a trading range of 0.0535 RUB (High: 0.6296 / Low: 0.5761). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0139 RUB (High: 0.6300 / Low: 0.6161).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0535

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0139

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0227 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0227

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2012: 0.6079) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.6283), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0204 (-3.25%).

2012 Avg (July) 0.6079

2011 Avg (July) 0.6283

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6246	0.5963	0.6125
February	0.6208	0.5812	0.6056
March	0.5931	0.5651	0.5828
April	0.5801	0.5571	0.5702
May	0.5937	0.5528	0.5674
June	0.6076	0.5767	0.5878
July	0.6345	0.5872	0.6079
August	0.6300	0.6161	0.6211
September	0.6296	0.5761	0.6052
October	0.6247	0.5741	0.5874
November	0.5853	0.5573	0.5728
December	0.5692	0.5540	0.5620