2013 CDF to MMK Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0754 MMK

YEARLY LOW

0.9254 MMK

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0117 MMK

2013 CDF to MMK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the CDF to MMK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 22, valuing the pair at 1.0754. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 24, dropping to 0.9254.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1500 MMK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9302 to the December average rate of 1.0660, the exchange rate registered a net change of 14.60% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1.0754 was up 11.18% compared to the 2012 peak of 0.9673, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,377 MMK

2012 Average 3,396 MMK

Yearly Trough Low 4,627 MMK

Transaction Impact: A difference of 749.85 MMK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1.0796

0.9166

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to MMK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9668, compared to 1.0567 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0899 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9668

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0567

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was May, with a trading range of 0.0733 MMK (High: 1.0356 / Low: 0.9624). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0088 MMK (High: 0.9342 / Low: 0.9254).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0733

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0088

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0079 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0079

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2013: 1.0636) against the same month in 2012 (average: 0.9527), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1109 (+11.64%).

2013 Avg (July) 1.0636

2012 Avg (July) 0.9527

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9342	0.9254	0.9302
February	0.9485	0.9306	0.9354
March	0.9567	0.9329	0.9449
April	0.9659	0.9547	0.9591
May	1.0356	0.9624	0.9990
June	1.0617	1.0212	1.0322
July	1.0754	1.0558	1.0636
August	1.0650	1.0466	1.0557
September	1.0549	1.0437	1.0493
October	1.0550	1.0457	1.0506
November	1.0675	1.0448	1.0548
December	1.0738	1.0603	1.0660