2019 CDF to MMK Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.9486 MMK

YEARLY LOW

0.8752 MMK

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9207 MMK

2019 CDF to MMK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the CDF to MMK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 0.9486. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 0.8752.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0734 MMK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9376 to the December average rate of 0.8936, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.70% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.9486 was down 4.75% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.9959, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,743 MMK

2018 Average 4,453 MMK

Yearly Trough Low 4,376 MMK

Transaction Impact: A difference of 366.88 MMK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.9421

0.8892

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to MMK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9300, compared to 0.9115 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0185 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9300

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9115

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was December, with a trading range of 0.0298 MMK (High: 0.9050 / Low: 0.8752). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0097 MMK (High: 0.9224 / Low: 0.9128).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0298

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0097

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0172 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0172

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 0.9376) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.8401), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0975 (+11.61%).

2019 Avg (January) 0.9376

2018 Avg (January) 0.8401

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9486	0.9222	0.9376
February	0.9461	0.9232	0.9337
March	0.9403	0.9229	0.9307
April	0.9350	0.9172	0.9256
May	0.9395	0.9245	0.9312
June	0.9298	0.9129	0.9212
July	0.9186	0.9050	0.9107
August	0.9212	0.9072	0.9144
September	0.9224	0.9128	0.9187
October	0.9237	0.9137	0.9205
November	0.9198	0.9041	0.9108
December	0.9050	0.8752	0.8936