2018 CDF to MMK Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.9959 MMK

YEARLY LOW

0.8170 MMK

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.8903 MMK

2018 CDF to MMK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the CDF to MMK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 9, valuing the pair at 0.9959. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 18, dropping to 0.8170.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1788 MMK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8401 to the December average rate of 0.9636, the exchange rate registered a net change of 14.69% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.9959 was down 15.24% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.1749, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,979 MMK

2017 Average 4,707 MMK

Yearly Trough Low 4,085 MMK

Transaction Impact: A difference of 894.16 MMK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.0005

0.8095

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to MMK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8344, compared to 0.9462 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1118 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8344

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9462

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.0666 MMK (High: 0.9911 / Low: 0.9245). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0086 MMK (High: 0.8321 / Low: 0.8235).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0666

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0086

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0210 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0210

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 0.9846) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.8623), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1223 (+14.18%).

2018 Avg (November) 0.9846

2017 Avg (November) 0.8623

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.8648	0.8286	0.8401
February	0.8324	0.8180	0.8276
March	0.8321	0.8235	0.8269
April	0.8357	0.8170	0.8254
May	0.8403	0.8266	0.8363
June	0.8791	0.8364	0.8500
July	0.9215	0.8705	0.8821
August	0.9524	0.8952	0.9216
September	0.9911	0.9245	0.9590
October	0.9899	0.9317	0.9663
November	0.9959	0.9704	0.9846
December	0.9873	0.9442	0.9636