YEARLY HIGH
0.9899 MMK
YEARLY LOW
0.6682 MMK
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.8092 MMK

2021 CDF to MMK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the CDF to MMK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 6, valuing the pair at 0.9899. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 0.6682.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3217 MMK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6742 to the December average rate of 0.8900, the exchange rate registered a net change of 32.01% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.9899 was up 11.24% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.8899, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,950 MMK
2020 Average 3,742 MMK
Yearly Trough Low 3,341 MMK
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,608.33 MMK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.9721
0.6471
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to MMK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7402, compared to 0.8781 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1378 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7402
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8781

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was September, with a trading range of 0.1104 MMK (High: 0.9390 / Low: 0.8286). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0051 MMK (High: 0.8290 / Low: 0.8239).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.1104
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0051

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0528 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0528

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2021: 0.9450) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.6629), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2821 (+42.55%).

2021 Avg (October) 0.9450
2020 Avg (October) 0.6629

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6782 0.6682 0.6742
February 0.7131 0.6709 0.7075
March 0.7172 0.7061 0.7092
April 0.7821 0.7051 0.7233
May 0.8276 0.7781 0.8004
June 0.8305 0.8241 0.8268
July 0.8307 0.8214 0.8260
August 0.8290 0.8239 0.8278
September 0.9390 0.8286 0.8876
October 0.9899 0.8924 0.9450
November 0.9118 0.8833 0.8921
December 0.8987 0.8878 0.8900