2016 CDF to MMK Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.4167 MMK

YEARLY LOW

1.1319 MMK

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.2800 MMK

2016 CDF to MMK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the CDF to MMK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 1.4167. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 9, dropping to 1.1319.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2847 MMK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4020 to the December average rate of 1.1588, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.35% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.4167 was down 0.29% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.4209, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,083 MMK

2015 Average 5,987 MMK

Yearly Trough Low 5,660 MMK

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,423.70 MMK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.4264

1.1345

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to MMK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3099, compared to 1.2500 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0599 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3099

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2500

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.2682 MMK (High: 1.4156 / Low: 1.1474). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0237 MMK (High: 1.4167 / Low: 1.3930).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2682

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0237

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1528 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1528

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1.4020) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.1112), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2908 (+26.17%).

2016 Avg (January) 1.4020

2015 Avg (January) 1.1112

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.4167	1.3930	1.4020
February	1.3962	1.3209	1.3428
March	1.3456	1.3006	1.3122
April	1.3107	1.2531	1.2745
May	1.2823	1.2544	1.2641
June	1.3111	1.2249	1.2639
July	1.2499	1.2082	1.2386
August	1.2380	1.2110	1.2215
September	1.2839	1.2293	1.2588
October	1.3438	1.2836	1.3109
November	1.4156	1.1474	1.3116
December	1.1927	1.1319	1.1588