YEARLY HIGH
529.1912 UGX
YEARLY LOW
503.0439 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
514.5264 UGX

2016 CNY to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the CNY to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 529.1912. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 19, dropping to 503.0439.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 26.1472 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 524.8060 to the December average rate of 519.9922, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.92% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 529.1912 was down 9.02% compared to the 2015 peak of 581.6313, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 CNY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,229,779 UGX
2015 Average 12,898,724 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 12,576,098 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 653,681.16 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

526.6652
504.3557
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CNY to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 517.3464, compared to 511.7064 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 5.6401 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 517.3464
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 511.7064

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was December, with a trading range of 15.6793 UGX (High: 527.4332 / Low: 511.7539). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.5608 UGX (High: 507.9386 / Low: 504.3778).

December Spread (Volatile) ±15.6793
September Spread (Stable) ±3.5608

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 6.6167 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -6.6167

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 524.8060) against the same month in 2015 (average: 459.7970), the exchange rate shifted by +65.0091 (+14.14%).

2016 Avg (January) 524.8060
2015 Avg (January) 459.7970

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 529.1912 517.7984 524.8060
February 528.4345 513.1319 523.4679
March 522.3435 510.2212 516.8512
April 520.6268 509.0733 515.9182
May 516.4670 508.9585 512.1565
June 514.2134 508.2228 510.8786
July 510.6215 503.0439 506.2149
August 509.7020 505.1411 507.1212
September 507.9386 504.3778 506.6604
October 513.9279 506.9173 509.9561
November 526.2854 511.7665 520.2934
December 527.4332 511.7539 519.9922