YEARLY HIGH
520.3432 UGX
YEARLY LOW
478.9664 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
501.1237 UGX

2025 CNY to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the CNY to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 2, valuing the pair at 520.3432. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 11, dropping to 478.9664.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 41.3768 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 505.5679 to the December average rate of 507.4689, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.38% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 520.3432 was down 5.35% compared to the 2024 peak of 549.7509, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 CNY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,008,581 UGX
2024 Average 13,084,488 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 11,974,161 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,034,420.52 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

509.5482
484.5972
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CNY to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 504.8116, compared to 497.4357 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 7.3759 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 504.8116
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 497.4357

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was November, with a trading range of 27.5033 UGX (High: 515.5231 / Low: 488.0198). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.1228 UGX (High: 501.7733 / Low: 497.6505).

November Spread (Volatile) ±27.5033
July Spread (Stable) ±4.1228

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 5.7160 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -5.7160

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2025: 506.5975) against the same month in 2024 (average: 540.9682), the exchange rate shifted by -34.3707 (-6.35%).

2025 Avg (February) 506.5975
2024 Avg (February) 540.9682

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 514.9650 501.1372 505.5679
February 520.3432 502.7241 506.5975
March 507.8201 498.7184 505.5568
April 508.5537 499.3061 502.4695
May 508.5221 502.8950 506.2948
June 506.8972 498.7085 502.3833
July 501.7733 497.6505 499.9075
August 498.3831 489.4234 496.2939
September 497.0619 488.2788 492.3925
October 491.7003 478.9664 486.6764
November 515.5231 488.0198 501.8749
December 517.9157 500.1714 507.4689