YEARLY HIGH
552.7926 UGX
YEARLY LOW
500.0229 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
526.7665 UGX

2023 CNY to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the CNY to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 23, valuing the pair at 552.7926. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 11, dropping to 500.0229.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 52.7697 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 543.5910 to the December average rate of 531.2647, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.27% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 552.7926 was down 4.16% compared to the 2022 peak of 576.7614, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 CNY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,819,816 UGX
2022 Average 13,718,898 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 12,500,574 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,319,242.11 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

547.1096
504.8867
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CNY to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 536.5224, compared to 517.0106 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 19.5118 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 536.5224
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 517.0106

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was June, with a trading range of 24.6740 UGX (High: 529.9053 / Low: 505.2312). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 7.5962 UGX (High: 516.7047 / Low: 509.1085).

June Spread (Volatile) ±24.6740
September Spread (Stable) ±7.5962

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 15.4196 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -15.4196

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2023: 542.1734) against the same month in 2022 (average: 566.1064), the exchange rate shifted by -23.9330 (-4.23%).

2023 Avg (March) 542.1734
2022 Avg (March) 566.1064

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 547.3833 539.2480 543.5910
February 548.8156 531.3732 538.7505
March 552.7926 531.5629 542.1734
April 549.7791 540.1426 543.5012
May 540.3177 526.8009 533.2689
June 529.9053 505.2312 517.8493
July 513.3924 502.7722 509.4308
August 520.6243 500.0229 508.4053
September 516.7047 509.1085 512.6803
October 525.3914 510.6289 515.8781
November 538.8193 515.3248 524.4043
December 538.0752 526.3766 531.2647