YEARLY HIGH
602.0232 UGX
YEARLY LOW
534.3457 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
564.0167 UGX

2018 CNY to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the CNY to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 602.0232. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 18, dropping to 534.3457.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 67.6775 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 566.4372 to the December average rate of 538.8664, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.87% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 602.0232 was up 7.69% compared to the 2017 peak of 559.0390, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 CNY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,050,581 UGX
2017 Average 13,384,034 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 13,358,643 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,691,938.44 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

599.0225
533.2008
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CNY to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 580.9308, compared to 547.1026 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 33.8282 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 580.9308
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 547.1026

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 46.3026 UGX (High: 588.6910 / Low: 542.3885). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.8237 UGX (High: 588.9113 / Low: 583.0876).

July Spread (Volatile) ±46.3026
April Spread (Stable) ±5.8237

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 34.1029 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -34.1029

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 593.5374) against the same month in 2017 (average: 527.1902), the exchange rate shifted by +66.3472 (+12.59%).

2018 Avg (June) 593.5374
2017 Avg (June) 527.1902

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 576.8556 557.2292 566.4372
February 580.4085 572.6179 575.6024
March 587.1059 572.9917 578.1531
April 588.9113 583.0876 586.8164
May 588.8719 581.8008 585.0384
June 602.0232 585.5115 593.5374
July 588.6910 542.3885 559.4344
August 553.3627 539.3395 544.8969
September 558.8837 550.6539 554.6610
October 556.8054 539.3589 546.0710
November 543.1457 534.3457 538.6859
December 544.7978 534.6621 538.8664