YEARLY HIGH
559.7585 UGX
YEARLY LOW
510.7318 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
536.5091 UGX

2019 CNY to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the CNY to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 5, valuing the pair at 559.7585. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 25, dropping to 510.7318.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 49.0267 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 545.4173 to the December average rate of 524.1032, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.91% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 559.7585 was down 7.02% compared to the 2018 peak of 602.0232, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 CNY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,993,964 UGX
2018 Average 14,096,829 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 12,768,296 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,225,667.51 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

560.6715
512.5666
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CNY to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 548.2856, compared to 524.7326 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 23.5530 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 548.2856
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 524.7326

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 25.7046 UGX (High: 536.4364 / Low: 510.7318). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.6325 UGX (High: 553.6479 / Low: 550.0155).

August Spread (Volatile) ±25.7046
March Spread (Stable) ±3.6325

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 14.5316 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -14.5316

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2019: 549.7295) against the same month in 2018 (average: 585.0384), the exchange rate shifted by -35.3089 (-6.04%).

2019 Avg (May) 549.7295
2018 Avg (May) 585.0384

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 549.7117 538.0387 545.4173
February 553.3046 540.3562 544.9185
March 553.6479 550.0155 551.8548
April 559.6668 553.2463 556.6627
May 559.7585 543.0076 549.7295
June 545.9182 534.9844 541.1309
July 543.5444 535.9473 537.3533
August 536.4364 510.7318 522.8217
September 519.1171 512.1491 516.5753
October 527.7423 512.9258 521.1335
November 530.3888 523.8527 526.4084
December 526.6175 522.0941 524.1032