2014 DJF to MNT Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

10.6031 MNT

YEARLY LOW

9.2058 MNT

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.1274 MNT

2014 DJF to MNT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the DJF to MNT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 14, valuing the pair at 10.6031. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 9.2058.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3973 MNT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.5018 to the December average rate of 10.5368, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.89% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 10.6031 was up 9.00% compared to the 2013 peak of 9.7277, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 53,015 MNT

2013 Average 42,595 MNT

Yearly Trough Low 46,029 MNT

Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,986.48 MNT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

10.6403

9.3983

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to MNT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.8853, compared to 10.3695 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4842 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.8853

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.3695

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was February, with a trading range of 0.4367 MNT (High: 9.9346 / Low: 9.4979). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1282 MNT (High: 10.2489 / Low: 10.1207).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.4367

June Spread (Stable) ±0.1282

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1391 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1391

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 10.5368) against the same month in 2013 (average: 9.3590), the exchange rate shifted by +1.1778 (+12.59%).

2014 Avg (December) 10.5368

2013 Avg (December) 9.3590

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	9.6391	9.2058	9.5018
February	9.9346	9.4979	9.7448
March	10.0233	9.6917	9.8825
April	10.0152	9.8831	9.9296
May	10.1803	9.9358	10.0699
June	10.2489	10.1207	10.1832
July	10.3872	10.1822	10.2628
August	10.5489	10.1526	10.3702
September	10.2949	10.0408	10.2312
October	10.4093	10.2656	10.3274
November	10.5859	10.3661	10.4885
December	10.6031	10.4725	10.5368