YEARLY HIGH
13.9693 MNT
YEARLY LOW
10.8776 MNT
YEARLY AVERAGE
12.0478 MNT

2016 DJF to MNT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the DJF to MNT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 13.9693. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 26, dropping to 10.8776.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.0917 MNT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.2393 to the December average rate of 13.8781, the exchange rate registered a net change of 23.48% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 13.9693 was up 24.21% compared to the 2015 peak of 11.2468, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 69,847 MNT
2015 Average 55,355 MNT
Yearly Trough Low 54,388 MNT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,458.52 MNT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

14.1598
10.7793
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to MNT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.2969, compared to 12.7988 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.5019 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.2969
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.7988

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was August, with a trading range of 1.0216 MNT (High: 12.7010 / Low: 11.6794). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0864 MNT (High: 11.2905 / Low: 11.2041).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.0216
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0864

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.2385 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2385

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 13.8781) against the same month in 2015 (average: 11.2171), the exchange rate shifted by +2.6609 (+23.72%).

2016 Avg (December) 13.8781
2015 Avg (December) 11.2171

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 11.2905 11.2041 11.2393
February 11.4535 11.3017 11.3616
March 11.5459 11.4198 11.4953
April 11.5229 11.1131 11.3245
May 11.3641 11.2169 11.2995
June 11.2222 10.8776 11.0610
July 11.6355 11.1555 11.3889
August 12.7010 11.6794 12.2934
September 12.8495 12.4164 12.6097
October 13.3713 12.7580 12.9776
November 13.8321 13.3314 13.6452
December 13.9693 13.7884 13.8781