2018 DJF to MNT Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

14.1303 MNT

YEARLY LOW

12.1588 MNT

YEARLY AVERAGE

13.6688 MNT

2018 DJF to MNT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the DJF to MNT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 17, valuing the pair at 14.1303. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 12, dropping to 12.1588.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.9716 MNT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.5560 to the December average rate of 13.8428, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.12% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 14.1303 was up 0.71% compared to the 2017 peak of 14.0310, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 70,652 MNT

2017 Average 68,088 MNT

Yearly Trough Low 60,794 MNT

Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,857.84 MNT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

14.0553

13.3995

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to MNT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.5112, compared to 13.8264 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3152 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.5112

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 13.8264

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 1.5739 MNT (High: 13.7326 / Low: 12.1588). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0131 MNT (High: 13.7200 / Low: 13.7069).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.5739

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0131

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1578 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1578

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 13.8428) against the same month in 2017 (average: 13.6005), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2424 (+1.78%).

2018 Avg (December) 13.8428

2017 Avg (December) 13.6005

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	13.5870	13.5186	13.5560
February	13.5810	13.4497	13.5184
March	13.5273	13.4987	13.5119
April	13.5399	13.4854	13.5128
May	13.5546	13.4513	13.5138
June	13.7326	12.1588	13.4541
July	13.7374	13.7012	13.7167
August	13.7200	13.7069	13.7166
September	13.7200	13.6778	13.7134
October	13.9969	13.7162	13.9679
November	14.0826	13.9380	14.0006
December	14.1303	13.7812	13.8428