YEARLY HIGH
16.5738 MNT
YEARLY LOW
13.7793 MNT
YEARLY AVERAGE
14.4596 MNT

2019 DJF to MNT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the DJF to MNT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 22, valuing the pair at 16.5738. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 13.7793.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.7945 MNT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.8737 to the December average rate of 15.1467, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.18% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 16.5738 was up 17.29% compared to the 2018 peak of 14.1303, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 82,869 MNT
2018 Average 68,350 MNT
Yearly Trough Low 68,897 MNT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,972.43 MNT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

15.2808
13.6716
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to MNT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.9078, compared to 15.0114 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.1036 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.9078
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 15.0114

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 2.7945 MNT (High: 16.5738 / Low: 13.7793). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0394 MNT (High: 14.9760 / Low: 14.9366).

January Spread (Volatile) ±2.7945
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0394

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.2159 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2159

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 13.8737) against the same month in 2018 (average: 13.5560), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3177 (+2.34%).

2019 Avg (January) 13.8737
2018 Avg (January) 13.5560

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 16.5738 13.7793 13.8737
February 14.1285 13.7812 13.8997
March 14.1185 13.7812 13.9394
April 14.1199 13.7812 14.0216
May 14.1373 13.7812 13.8057
June 14.9491 13.7812 13.9067
July 14.9627 14.8790 14.9325
August 14.9742 14.9101 14.9603
September 14.9760 14.9366 14.9629
October 15.0325 14.8537 14.9859
November 15.1142 15.0312 15.0799
December 15.1724 15.1058 15.1467