YEARLY HIGH
16.1426 MNT
YEARLY LOW
15.1529 MNT
YEARLY AVERAGE
15.7733 MNT

2020 DJF to MNT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the DJF to MNT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 25, valuing the pair at 16.1426. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 12, dropping to 15.1529.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9897 MNT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 15.1839 to the December average rate of 16.0254, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.54% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 16.1426 was down 2.60% compared to the 2019 peak of 16.5738, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 80,713 MNT
2019 Average 72,319 MNT
Yearly Trough Low 75,764 MNT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,948.64 MNT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

16.1545
15.0956
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to MNT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 15.5423, compared to 16.0042 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4620 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 15.5423
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 16.0042

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was February, with a trading range of 0.2797 MNT (High: 15.4872 / Low: 15.2075). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0483 MNT (High: 15.2012 / Low: 15.1529).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.2797
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0483

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0567 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0567

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2020: 16.0663) against the same month in 2019 (average: 14.9629), the exchange rate shifted by +1.1034 (+7.37%).

2020 Avg (September) 16.0663
2019 Avg (September) 14.9629

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 15.2012 15.1529 15.1839
February 15.4872 15.2075 15.4274
March 15.5222 15.4568 15.4995
April 15.6688 15.5206 15.6347
May 15.7586 15.6395 15.7002
June 15.8698 15.7309 15.8080
July 15.9915 15.8607 15.9294
August 16.0657 15.9513 16.0022
September 16.1426 15.9858 16.0663
October 16.0847 15.9247 16.0096
November 16.0458 15.9349 15.9924
December 16.0740 15.9809 16.0254