YEARLY HIGH
389.0901 UGX
YEARLY LOW
352.3013 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
366.5751 UGX

2014 EGP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the EGP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 389.0901. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 18, dropping to 352.3013.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 36.7888 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 359.2513 to the December average rate of 386.8168, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.67% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 389.0901 was down 8.12% compared to the 2013 peak of 423.4820, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 EGP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,945,450 UGX
2013 Average 1,882,366 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,761,506 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 183,943.97 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

390.0395
351.3668
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

EGP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 359.4378, compared to 373.7124 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 14.2747 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 359.4378
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 373.7124

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was November, with a trading range of 13.3274 UGX (High: 388.2788 / Low: 374.9514). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.3219 UGX (High: 389.0901 / Low: 384.7681).

November Spread (Volatile) ±13.3274
December Spread (Stable) ±4.3219

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 4.7218 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.7218

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 386.8168) against the same month in 2013 (average: 364.1252), the exchange rate shifted by +22.6916 (+6.23%).

2014 Avg (December) 386.8168
2013 Avg (December) 364.1252

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 363.6533 355.2175 359.2513
February 363.0150 352.3013 354.5895
March 368.6328 360.5964 363.8110
April 367.7196 358.8426 361.7229
May 360.5405 353.9893 357.0011
June 364.7336 356.0403 360.2507
July 372.7817 364.2494 368.0598
August 366.8014 361.9986 364.9810
September 370.8186 363.7486 366.1555
October 379.5094 369.2710 374.0873
November 388.2788 374.9514 382.1742
December 389.0901 384.7681 386.8168