YEARLY HIGH
237.4542 UGX
YEARLY LOW
224.0842 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
228.5285 UGX

2021 EGP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the EGP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 237.4542. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 4, dropping to 224.0842.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 13.3700 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 234.8987 to the December average rate of 226.1943, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.71% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 237.4542 was down 4.60% compared to the 2020 peak of 248.9033, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 EGP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,187,271 UGX
2020 Average 1,175,519 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,120,421 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 66,850.17 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

235.9193
223.6721
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

EGP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 230.9985, compared to 226.0585 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.9400 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 230.9985
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 226.0585

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was January, with a trading range of 6.7307 UGX (High: 237.4542 / Low: 230.7236). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.4677 UGX (High: 226.2641 / Low: 224.7964).

January Spread (Volatile) ±6.7307
August Spread (Stable) ±1.4677

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 4.3155 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.3155

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 234.8987) against the same month in 2020 (average: 231.3854), the exchange rate shifted by +3.5132 (+1.52%).

2021 Avg (January) 234.8987
2020 Avg (January) 231.3854

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 237.4542 230.7236 234.8987
February 235.2141 233.2908 234.0799
March 234.1891 232.1734 233.1785
April 234.3079 228.3488 231.0847
May 229.7010 225.2998 226.7691
June 227.1556 224.4669 225.9801
July 227.3506 225.3616 226.3645
August 226.2641 224.7964 225.3276
September 226.4638 224.0842 224.6927
October 230.8594 225.1309 227.6738
November 227.9502 224.2755 226.0982
December 227.4714 225.0264 226.1943