2016 EGP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

444.6069 UGX

YEARLY LOW

181.6126 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

364.5065 UGX

2016 EGP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the EGP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 444.6069. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 181.6126.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 262.9943 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 440.0024 to the December average rate of 195.7747, the exchange rate registered a net change of -55.51% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 444.6069 was down 5.71% compared to the 2015 peak of 471.5105, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 EGP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,223,034 UGX

2015 Average 2,098,051 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 908,063 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,314,971.30 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

464.4251

171.3520

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

EGP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 401.9160, compared to 327.0971 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 74.8189 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 401.9160

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 327.0971

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 196.9493 UGX (High: 393.6675 / Low: 196.7182). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.0321 UGX (High: 381.6494 / Low: 379.6173).

November Spread (Volatile) ±196.9493

September Spread (Stable) ±2.0321

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 147.6615 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -147.6615

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 440.0024) against the same month in 2015 (average: 392.6141), the exchange rate shifted by +47.3882 (+12.07%).

2016 Avg (January) 440.0024

2015 Avg (January) 392.6141

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	444.6069	431.1678	440.0024
February	444.0184	428.4576	437.6889
March	430.4384	375.2413	401.4245
April	380.1422	372.5110	376.4578
May	381.4145	373.5684	376.6918
June	386.7512	377.0236	379.2303
July	382.7808	379.0291	380.6258
August	381.4252	378.9968	379.9023
September	381.6494	379.6173	380.9741
October	390.0879	380.6340	386.4836
November	393.6675	196.7182	238.8221
December	203.8301	181.6126	195.7747