YEARLY HIGH
218.7348 UGX
YEARLY LOW
204.5893 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
209.2557 UGX

2018 EGP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the EGP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 218.7348. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 204.5893.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 14.1456 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 205.6138 to the December average rate of 207.3676, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.85% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 218.7348 was down 4.12% compared to the 2017 peak of 228.1453, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 EGP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,093,674 UGX
2017 Average 1,014,743 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,022,946 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 70,727.76 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

215.7856
204.6891
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

EGP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 208.7519, compared to 209.7595 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.0076 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 208.7519
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 209.7595

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 12.0319 UGX (High: 217.8885 / Low: 205.8566). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.8913 UGX (High: 207.1120 / Low: 205.2207).

July Spread (Volatile) ±12.0319
February Spread (Stable) ±1.8913

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 4.8460 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.8460

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 214.8609) against the same month in 2017 (average: 198.2527), the exchange rate shifted by +16.6082 (+8.38%).

2018 Avg (June) 214.8609
2017 Avg (June) 198.2527

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 206.7758 204.5893 205.6138
February 207.1120 205.2207 205.9604
March 209.3632 206.5404 207.3904
April 210.4905 207.9825 209.2024
May 210.9134 207.7603 209.4833
June 218.7348 210.9224 214.8609
July 217.8885 205.8566 210.0149
August 211.4963 206.2946 208.7112
September 214.7958 209.8986 212.5946
October 213.5879 209.0655 211.0349
November 210.1591 207.1285 208.8337
December 209.2413 205.6102 207.3676