YEARLY HIGH
231.1627 UGX
YEARLY LOW
204.4119 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
220.4896 UGX

2019 EGP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the EGP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 27, valuing the pair at 231.1627. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 27, dropping to 204.4119.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 26.7508 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 207.2157 to the December average rate of 228.4507, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.25% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 231.1627 was up 5.68% compared to the 2018 peak of 218.7348, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 EGP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,155,813 UGX
2018 Average 1,046,298 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,022,060 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 133,753.86 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

231.3887
205.0181
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

EGP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 215.1207, compared to 225.8584 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 10.7376 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 215.1207
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 225.8584

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was May, with a trading range of 7.7324 UGX (High: 225.4468 / Low: 217.7144). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.8502 UGX (High: 223.6798 / Low: 221.8296).

May Spread (Volatile) ±7.7324
July Spread (Stable) ±1.8502

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.7405 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7405

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2019: 227.7508) against the same month in 2018 (average: 211.0349), the exchange rate shifted by +16.7159 (+7.92%).

2019 Avg (October) 227.7508
2018 Avg (October) 211.0349

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 208.3711 204.4119 207.2157
February 211.5666 208.0095 209.0431
March 214.6974 210.7949 213.2503
April 218.6582 214.1713 216.7076
May 225.4468 217.7144 221.3307
June 225.4468 220.4468 223.1771
July 223.6798 221.8296 222.6070
August 223.9017 218.6584 222.8457
September 226.8135 220.7462 224.3049
October 231.1627 224.4989 227.7508
November 230.3820 228.3924 229.1912
December 229.7978 227.4982 228.4507