2014 ETB to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

81.7224 BIF

YEARLY LOW

76.5048 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

78.9459 BIF

2014 ETB to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the ETB to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 5, valuing the pair at 81.7224. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 5, dropping to 76.5048.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.2177 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 80.8157 to the December average rate of 77.5704, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.02% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 81.7224 was down 5.26% compared to the 2013 peak of 86.2602, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 408,612 BIF

2013 Average 414,121 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 382,524 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 26,088.33 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

81.1403

77.2459

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 79.9541, compared to 77.9376 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.0166 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 79.9541

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 77.9376

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was October, with a trading range of 2.2437 BIF (High: 78.7485 / Low: 76.5048). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6888 BIF (High: 78.1281 / Low: 77.4393).

October Spread (Volatile) ±2.2437

November Spread (Stable) ±0.6888

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.8252 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8252

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2014: 80.5999) against the same month in 2013 (average: 85.1804), the exchange rate shifted by -4.5805 (-5.38%).

2014 Avg (February) 80.5999

2013 Avg (February) 85.1804

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	81.1639	80.2819	80.8157
February	81.7224	79.8346	80.5999
March	81.1164	79.9460	80.4522
April	80.1205	79.0165	79.6270
May	79.6169	78.9243	79.2789
June	79.4915	78.5898	78.9510
July	78.9553	77.8206	78.5196
August	78.5027	77.3841	78.1510
September	78.1098	77.1153	77.6963
October	78.7485	76.5048	77.9006
November	78.1281	77.4393	77.7876
December	78.2312	76.9094	77.5704