YEARLY HIGH
65.4323 BIF
YEARLY LOW
63.3691 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
64.2502 BIF

2018 ETB to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ETB to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 18, valuing the pair at 65.4323. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 6, dropping to 63.3691.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.0632 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 64.2247 to the December average rate of 64.1045, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.19% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 65.4323 was down 13.68% compared to the 2017 peak of 75.8031, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 327,162 BIF
2017 Average 360,923 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 316,846 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,316.02 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

64.5197
63.9951
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 64.3068, compared to 64.1937 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1131 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 64.3068
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 64.1937

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 1.8823 BIF (High: 65.4323 / Low: 63.5501). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4400 BIF (High: 64.4765 / Low: 64.0366).

December Spread (Volatile) ±1.8823
August Spread (Stable) ±0.4400

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1980 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1980

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 64.1045) against the same month in 2017 (average: 64.2856), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1811 (-0.28%).

2018 Avg (December) 64.1045
2017 Avg (December) 64.2856

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 64.6916 63.9220 64.2247
February 64.4646 63.8567 64.1767
March 64.6226 63.7600 64.2340
April 64.9632 63.9955 64.4760
May 65.0909 63.8785 64.3817
June 64.8276 63.9191 64.3477
July 64.7091 63.8162 64.2449
August 64.4765 64.0366 64.2368
September 64.4530 63.5879 64.0388
October 64.7699 63.3691 64.2545
November 64.8744 63.8273 64.2825
December 65.4323 63.5501 64.1045