2011 ETB to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.9916 SCR

YEARLY LOW

0.7043 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.7944 SCR

2011 ETB to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the ETB to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 0.9916. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 7, dropping to 0.7043.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2872 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9762 to the December average rate of 0.7734, the exchange rate registered a net change of -20.78% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.9916 was down 13.21% compared to the 2010 peak of 1.1425, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,958 SCR

2010 Average 5,243 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 3,522 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,436.23 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

1.0020

0.6930

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8543, compared to 0.7346 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1197 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8543

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7346

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was April, with a trading range of 0.2341 SCR (High: 0.9484 / Low: 0.7143). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0211 SCR (High: 0.7416 / Low: 0.7206).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.2341

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0211

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.2041 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2041

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 0.9762) against the same month in 2010 (average: 1.0302), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0539 (-5.24%).

2011 Avg (January) 0.9762

2010 Avg (January) 1.0302

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9916	0.9569	0.9762
February	0.9781	0.9500	0.9659
March	0.9853	0.9462	0.9630
April	0.9484	0.7143	0.7589
May	0.7416	0.7206	0.7355
June	0.7406	0.7133	0.7260
July	0.7363	0.7097	0.7197
August	0.7345	0.7062	0.7188
September	0.7323	0.7043	0.7200
October	0.7506	0.7207	0.7323
November	0.7617	0.7299	0.7432
December	0.8009	0.7463	0.7734