YEARLY HIGH
0.5500 SCR
YEARLY LOW
0.0619 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3745 SCR

2021 ETB to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ETB to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 0.5500. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 0.0619.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4881 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5386 to the December average rate of 0.2698, the exchange rate registered a net change of -49.91% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.5500 was down 0.94% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.5552, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,750 SCR
2020 Average 2,445 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 310 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,440.50 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.5655
0.2429
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4532, compared to 0.2958 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1574 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4532
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2958

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was December, with a trading range of 0.2481 SCR (High: 0.3100 / Low: 0.0619). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0142 SCR (High: 0.5500 / Low: 0.5358).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.2481
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0142

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1243 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1243

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 0.5386) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.4262), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1124 (+26.38%).

2021 Avg (January) 0.5386
2020 Avg (January) 0.4262

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.5500 0.5358 0.5386
February 0.5383 0.5184 0.5315
March 0.5297 0.4985 0.5228
April 0.5024 0.3321 0.3985
May 0.3850 0.3390 0.3697
June 0.3828 0.3354 0.3583
July 0.3726 0.3057 0.3358
August 0.3411 0.2811 0.3045
September 0.3041 0.2764 0.2850
October 0.3173 0.2711 0.2955
November 0.3133 0.2665 0.2843
December 0.3100 0.0619 0.2698