YEARLY HIGH
0.4859 SCR
YEARLY LOW
0.4278 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4686 SCR

2019 ETB to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ETB to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 3, valuing the pair at 0.4859. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 11, dropping to 0.4278.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0581 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4813 to the December average rate of 0.4352, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.58% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.4859 was down 6.02% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.5170, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,429 SCR
2018 Average 2,461 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 2,139 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 290.73 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.4859
0.4306
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4771, compared to 0.4602 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0170 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4771
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4602

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.0543 SCR (High: 0.4821 / Low: 0.4278). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0061 SCR (High: 0.4838 / Low: 0.4777).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0543
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0061

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0224 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0224

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2019: 0.4798) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.4962), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0164 (-3.31%).

2019 Avg (March) 0.4798
2018 Avg (March) 0.4962

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4854 0.4786 0.4813
February 0.4838 0.4777 0.4804
March 0.4859 0.4767 0.4798
April 0.4852 0.4729 0.4757
May 0.4773 0.4698 0.4734
June 0.4766 0.4691 0.4721
July 0.4822 0.4683 0.4721
August 0.4821 0.4278 0.4658
September 0.4720 0.4638 0.4662
October 0.4692 0.4612 0.4640
November 0.4751 0.4369 0.4577
December 0.4505 0.4287 0.4352