2012 ETB to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.8384 SCR

YEARLY LOW

0.7150 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.7733 SCR

2012 ETB to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ETB to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 18, valuing the pair at 0.8384. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 0.7150.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1234 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8021 to the December average rate of 0.7180, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.49% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.8384 was down 15.45% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.9916, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,192 SCR

2011 Average 3,968 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 3,575 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 616.77 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.8258

0.7082

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8067, compared to 0.7400 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0667 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8067

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7400

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was August, with a trading range of 0.0597 SCR (High: 0.7821 / Low: 0.7224). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0071 SCR (High: 0.7221 / Low: 0.7150).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0597

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0071

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0745 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0745

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2012: 0.8132) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.7197), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0935 (+12.99%).

2012 Avg (July) 0.8132

2011 Avg (July) 0.7197

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.8198	0.7709	0.8021
February	0.8258	0.7938	0.8069
March	0.8205	0.7844	0.8083
April	0.8223	0.7881	0.8029
May	0.8277	0.7875	0.8040
June	0.8327	0.7947	0.8160
July	0.8384	0.7839	0.8132
August	0.7821	0.7224	0.7387
September	0.7264	0.7162	0.7224
October	0.7302	0.7204	0.7245
November	0.7267	0.7188	0.7231
December	0.7221	0.7150	0.7180