2014 ETB to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.7116 SCR

YEARLY LOW

0.6119 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6464 SCR

2014 ETB to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the ETB to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 9, valuing the pair at 0.7116. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 30, dropping to 0.6119.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0997 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6298 to the December average rate of 0.6934, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.09% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.7116 was down 1.11% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.7196, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,558 SCR

2013 Average 3,229 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 3,059 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 498.46 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.7149

0.6124

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6270, compared to 0.6658 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0388 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6270

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6658

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was October, with a trading range of 0.0536 SCR (High: 0.7089 / Low: 0.6553). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0072 SCR (High: 0.7116 / Low: 0.7044).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0536

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0072

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0130 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0130

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2014: 0.7064) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.6337), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0727 (+11.47%).

2014 Avg (November) 0.7064

2013 Avg (November) 0.6337

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6347	0.6261	0.6298
February	0.6381	0.6258	0.6306
March	0.6340	0.6193	0.6291
April	0.6318	0.6119	0.6209
May	0.6420	0.6124	0.6251
June	0.6319	0.6196	0.6263
July	0.6304	0.6212	0.6238
August	0.6529	0.6209	0.6343
September	0.6611	0.6473	0.6560
October	0.7089	0.6553	0.6810
November	0.7116	0.7044	0.7064
December	0.7059	0.6591	0.6934