YEARLY HIGH
1.2873 BRL
YEARLY LOW
1.0304 BRL
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.1699 BRL

2012 GEL to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the GEL to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 2, valuing the pair at 1.2873. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 8, dropping to 1.0304.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2569 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0725 to the December average rate of 1.2538, the exchange rate registered a net change of 16.91% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1.2873 was up 12.90% compared to the 2011 peak of 1.1403, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,437 BRL
2011 Average 4,968 BRL
Yearly Trough Low 5,152 BRL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,284.42 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1.2754
1.0160
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1333, compared to 1.2064 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0730 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1333
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2064

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 0.1029 BRL (High: 1.2696 / Low: 1.1666). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0139 BRL (High: 1.1799 / Low: 1.1660).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.1029
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0139

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0707 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0707

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 1.2538) against the same month in 2011 (average: 1.1059), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1479 (+13.37%).

2012 Avg (December) 1.2538
2011 Avg (December) 1.1059

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.1196 1.0423 1.0725
February 1.0540 1.0304 1.0376
March 1.1117 1.0336 1.0858
April 1.1613 1.1050 1.1328
May 1.2696 1.1666 1.2181
June 1.2697 1.2343 1.2532
July 1.2228 1.1666 1.1825
August 1.1866 1.1672 1.1744
September 1.1799 1.1660 1.1727
October 1.2292 1.1670 1.2120
November 1.2749 1.2237 1.2428
December 1.2873 1.2343 1.2538