YEARLY HIGH
1.8597 BRL
YEARLY LOW
1.2695 BRL
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.5138 BRL

2015 GEL to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the GEL to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 19, valuing the pair at 1.8597. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 14, dropping to 1.2695.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5902 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4927 to the December average rate of 1.6210, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.59% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 1.8597 was up 21.77% compared to the 2014 peak of 1.5273, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,299 BRL
2014 Average 6,683 BRL
Yearly Trough Low 6,348 BRL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,950.96 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

1.6812
1.2841
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4637, compared to 1.5640 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1003 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4637
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5640

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was March, with a trading range of 0.4451 BRL (High: 1.8597 / Low: 1.4147). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0310 BRL (High: 1.3950 / Low: 1.3640).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.4451
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0310

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.2990 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2990

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2015: 1.6481) against the same month in 2014 (average: 1.3294), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3187 (+23.97%).

2015 Avg (March) 1.6481
2014 Avg (March) 1.3294

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.5328 1.4589 1.4927
February 1.6411 1.5190 1.5949
March 1.8597 1.4147 1.6481
April 1.4178 1.2715 1.3491
May 1.3798 1.2695 1.3172
June 1.3950 1.3640 1.3799
July 1.4975 1.3818 1.4260
August 1.5308 1.4904 1.5093
September 1.7383 1.5583 1.6248
October 1.6809 1.5763 1.6233
November 1.6139 1.5376 1.5793
December 1.6705 1.5749 1.6210