YEARLY HIGH
1.7191 BRL
YEARLY LOW
1.2361 BRL
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.4700 BRL

2018 GEL to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GEL to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 13, valuing the pair at 1.7191. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 24, dropping to 1.2361.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4830 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2543 to the December average rate of 1.4613, the exchange rate registered a net change of 16.50% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.7191 was up 22.90% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.3988, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,595 BRL
2017 Average 6,398 BRL
Yearly Trough Low 6,180 BRL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,414.96 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.7097
1.2129
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3885, compared to 1.5515 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1629 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3885
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5515

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.1615 BRL (High: 1.6740 / Low: 1.5125). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0373 BRL (High: 1.4789 / Low: 1.4416).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1615
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0373

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1328 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1328

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 1.6683) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.2699), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3983 (+31.37%).

2018 Avg (September) 1.6683
2017 Avg (September) 1.2699

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.2794 1.2361 1.2543
February 1.3496 1.2775 1.3205
March 1.3640 1.3059 1.3403
April 1.4309 1.3592 1.3976
May 1.5289 1.4297 1.4799
June 1.5942 1.5108 1.5388
July 1.6063 1.5058 1.5605
August 1.6740 1.5125 1.5889
September 1.7191 1.6354 1.6683
October 1.6419 1.4886 1.5355
November 1.5542 1.4145 1.4944
December 1.4789 1.4416 1.4613