YEARLY HIGH
1.4932 BRL
YEARLY LOW
1.2828 BRL
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.4016 BRL

2019 GEL to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the GEL to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 17, valuing the pair at 1.4932. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 30, dropping to 1.2828.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2104 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4042 to the December average rate of 1.4210, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.19% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1.4932 was down 13.14% compared to the 2018 peak of 1.7191, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,466 BRL
2018 Average 7,353 BRL
Yearly Trough Low 6,414 BRL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,051.91 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1.4670
1.3053
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4227, compared to 1.3806 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0421 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4227
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3806

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.1192 BRL (High: 1.4205 / Low: 1.3013). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0379 BRL (High: 1.4390 / Low: 1.4011).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1192
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0379

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0762 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0762

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2019: 1.4535) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1.4799), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0264 (-1.78%).

2019 Avg (May) 1.4535
2018 Avg (May) 1.4799

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.4483 1.3726 1.4042
February 1.4232 1.3768 1.4023
March 1.4842 1.4062 1.4339
April 1.4782 1.4195 1.4470
May 1.4932 1.4091 1.4535
June 1.4221 1.3378 1.3950
July 1.3674 1.2828 1.3188
August 1.4205 1.3013 1.3733
September 1.4238 1.3723 1.3919
October 1.4074 1.3449 1.3775
November 1.4358 1.3469 1.4009
December 1.4390 1.4011 1.4210