YEARLY HIGH
1.8314 BRL
YEARLY LOW
1.4055 BRL
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.6538 BRL

2020 GEL to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the GEL to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 13, valuing the pair at 1.8314. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 1.4055.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4259 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4392 to the December average rate of 1.5622, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.54% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 1.8314 was up 22.65% compared to the 2019 peak of 1.4932, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,157 BRL
2019 Average 7,008 BRL
Yearly Trough Low 7,027 BRL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,129.47 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

1.7944
1.4069
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6195, compared to 1.6881 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0686 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6195
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6881

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.3372 BRL (High: 1.7924 / Low: 1.4553). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0605 BRL (High: 1.7837 / Low: 1.7232).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.3372
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0605

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1084 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1084

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2020: 1.7518) against the same month in 2019 (average: 1.4535), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2983 (+20.52%).

2020 Avg (May) 1.7518
2019 Avg (May) 1.4535

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.4818 1.4055 1.4392
February 1.6051 1.4700 1.5294
March 1.7924 1.4553 1.6257
April 1.7584 1.5981 1.6707
May 1.8314 1.6508 1.7518
June 1.7927 1.5872 1.7003
July 1.7600 1.6657 1.7220
August 1.8152 1.6902 1.7621
September 1.7479 1.6348 1.6991
October 1.7837 1.7232 1.7457
November 1.7726 1.5919 1.6374
December 1.5996 1.5276 1.5622