YEARLY HIGH
5.4715 MAD
YEARLY LOW
4.9167 MAD
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.1730 MAD

2012 GEL to MAD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the GEL to MAD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 1, valuing the pair at 5.4715. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 15, dropping to 4.9167.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5548 MAD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.1599 to the December average rate of 5.1181, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.81% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 5.4715 was up 5.83% compared to the 2011 peak of 5.1700, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,357 MAD
2011 Average 24,023 MAD
Yearly Trough Low 24,583 MAD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,774.03 MAD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

5.4354
4.9529
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MAD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.2121, compared to 5.1339 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0782 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.2121
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.1339

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 0.2851 MAD (High: 5.4651 / Low: 5.1800). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0807 MAD (High: 5.2408 / Low: 5.1601).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.2851
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0807

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1759 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1759

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2012: 5.3952) against the same month in 2011 (average: 4.7587), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6366 (+13.38%).

2012 Avg (June) 5.3952
2011 Avg (June) 4.7587

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.2293 5.0726 5.1599
February 5.1879 5.0298 5.0881
March 5.1784 5.0638 5.1201
April 5.2072 5.0862 5.1806
May 5.4651 5.1800 5.3284
June 5.4715 5.3198 5.3952
July 5.3105 5.1701 5.2193
August 5.2020 5.0750 5.1520
September 5.0903 4.9167 4.9931
October 5.1855 4.9288 5.1154
November 5.2408 5.1601 5.2054
December 5.1655 5.0809 5.1181