YEARLY HIGH
3.6154 MAD
YEARLY LOW
3.2959 MAD
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.4121 MAD

2025 GEL to MAD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the GEL to MAD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 8, valuing the pair at 3.6154. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 2, dropping to 3.2959.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3195 MAD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.5352 to the December average rate of 3.4082, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.59% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 3.6154 was down 5.52% compared to the 2024 peak of 3.8264, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,077 MAD
2024 Average 18,288 MAD
Yearly Trough Low 16,480 MAD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,597.25 MAD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

3.5767
3.3032
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MAD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.4512, compared to 3.3729 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0782 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.4512
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.3729

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was March, with a trading range of 0.1345 MAD (High: 3.5818 / Low: 3.4472). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0400 MAD (High: 3.4419 / Low: 3.4020).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.1345
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0400

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0915 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0915

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2025: 3.5539) against the same month in 2024 (average: 3.7918), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2379 (-6.27%).

2025 Avg (February) 3.5539
2024 Avg (February) 3.7918

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.5947 3.4694 3.5352
February 3.6154 3.5020 3.5539
March 3.5818 3.4472 3.4925
April 3.4756 3.3635 3.4010
May 3.4073 3.3555 3.3778
June 3.3844 3.3130 3.3465
July 3.3791 3.2959 3.3260
August 3.3715 3.3214 3.3489
September 3.3779 3.3194 3.3486
October 3.4138 3.3368 3.3805
November 3.4419 3.4020 3.4255
December 3.4415 3.3808 3.4082