YEARLY HIGH
5.7389 MAD
YEARLY LOW
3.9223 MAD
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.4779 MAD

2015 GEL to MAD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the GEL to MAD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 15, valuing the pair at 5.7389. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 17, dropping to 3.9223.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8166 MAD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.3053 to the December average rate of 4.1330, the exchange rate registered a net change of -22.10% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 5.7389 was up 11.85% compared to the 2014 peak of 5.1310, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 28,694 MAD
2014 Average 23,897 MAD
Yearly Trough Low 19,611 MAD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,083.06 MAD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

5.5406
3.9091
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MAD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.7972, compared to 4.1586 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6386 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.7972
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.1586

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was March, with a trading range of 1.3290 MAD (High: 5.7389 / Low: 4.4098). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0673 MAD (High: 4.3786 / Low: 4.3114).

March Spread (Volatile) ±1.3290
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0673

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.8061 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8061

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2015: 5.1966) against the same month in 2014 (average: 4.6479), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5487 (+11.81%).

2015 Avg (March) 5.1966
2014 Avg (March) 4.6479

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.4737 5.1480 5.3053
February 5.4585 5.3640 5.4046
March 5.7389 4.4098 5.1966
April 4.4886 4.1872 4.3904
May 4.3264 4.0613 4.1948
June 4.3356 4.2291 4.2917
July 4.3786 4.3114 4.3485
August 4.3306 3.9713 4.1969
September 4.1260 3.9223 4.0451
October 4.1414 4.0175 4.0671
November 4.2000 4.0988 4.1610
December 4.1963 4.1011 4.1330