YEARLY HIGH
4.0645 MAD
YEARLY LOW
3.6595 MAD
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.8601 MAD

2023 GEL to MAD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the GEL to MAD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 19, valuing the pair at 4.0645. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 3.6595.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4050 MAD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.8391 to the December average rate of 3.7390, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.61% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 4.0645 was up 0.58% compared to the 2022 peak of 4.0409, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,323 MAD
2022 Average 17,520 MAD
Yearly Trough Low 18,297 MAD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,025.11 MAD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

4.0455
3.7111
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MAD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.9305, compared to 3.7897 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1408 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.9305
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.7897

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was May, with a trading range of 0.1669 MAD (High: 4.0387 / Low: 3.8718). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0814 MAD (High: 3.8757 / Low: 3.7942).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.1669
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0814

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.1277 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1277

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2023: 4.0176) against the same month in 2022 (average: 3.2102), the exchange rate shifted by +0.8075 (+25.15%).

2023 Avg (April) 4.0176
2022 Avg (April) 3.2102

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.9168 3.7521 3.8391
February 3.9547 3.8291 3.8981
March 4.0522 3.9464 4.0041
April 4.0645 3.9560 4.0176
May 4.0387 3.8718 3.9760
June 3.9063 3.7666 3.8483
July 3.8136 3.7252 3.7653
August 3.8753 3.7089 3.7846
September 3.9126 3.8131 3.8665
October 3.8757 3.7942 3.8224
November 3.8017 3.7184 3.7606
December 3.8108 3.6595 3.7390