YEARLY HIGH
5.2838 MAD
YEARLY LOW
4.6673 MAD
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.0519 MAD

2013 GEL to MAD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the GEL to MAD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 19, valuing the pair at 5.2838. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 4.6673.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6165 MAD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.0652 to the December average rate of 4.7355, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.51% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 5.2838 was down 3.43% compared to the 2012 peak of 5.4715, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26,419 MAD
2012 Average 25,866 MAD
Yearly Trough Low 23,337 MAD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,082.35 MAD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

5.2662
4.6873
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MAD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.1285, compared to 4.9754 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1531 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.1285
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.9754

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was December, with a trading range of 0.2050 MAD (High: 4.8723 / Low: 4.6673). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0712 MAD (High: 5.1012 / Low: 5.0300).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.2050
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0712

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.2084 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2084

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2013: 5.2179) against the same month in 2012 (average: 5.3284), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1105 (-2.07%).

2013 Avg (May) 5.2179
2012 Avg (May) 5.3284

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.1355 4.9874 5.0652
February 5.1431 4.9586 5.0499
March 5.2199 5.1254 5.1664
April 5.2230 5.1191 5.1635
May 5.2838 5.1242 5.2179
June 5.2012 5.0427 5.1080
July 5.2220 5.0809 5.1405
August 5.1012 5.0300 5.0509
September 5.1089 4.9797 5.0389
October 4.9855 4.8840 4.9426
November 4.9822 4.8747 4.9439
December 4.8723 4.6673 4.7355