YEARLY HIGH
98.6348 NGN
YEARLY LOW
91.3561 NGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
95.6759 NGN

2013 GEL to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the GEL to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 5, valuing the pair at 98.6348. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 11, dropping to 91.3561.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.2787 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 94.5683 to the December average rate of 91.8492, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.88% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 98.6348 was down 1.28% compared to the 2012 peak of 99.9152, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 493,174 NGN
2012 Average 475,574 NGN
Yearly Trough Low 456,780 NGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 36,393.48 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

98.0571
91.2848
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 95.6501, compared to 95.7017 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0516 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 95.6501
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 95.7017

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was June, with a trading range of 3.4629 NGN (High: 98.4321 / Low: 94.9692). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9442 NGN (High: 95.9481 / Low: 95.0039).

June Spread (Volatile) ±3.4629
March Spread (Stable) ±0.9442

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 2.7263 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.7263

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2013: 97.4928) against the same month in 2012 (average: 91.2032), the exchange rate shifted by +6.2896 (+6.90%).

2013 Avg (September) 97.4928
2012 Avg (September) 91.2032

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 95.0071 93.8109 94.5683
February 95.7873 94.6805 95.0906
March 95.9481 95.0039 95.4869
April 96.2715 95.1996 95.6811
May 96.9100 95.7523 96.2984
June 98.4321 94.9692 96.7753
July 98.0797 96.7944 97.3412
August 97.9664 95.8155 96.8935
September 98.6348 96.0230 97.4928
October 97.1563 95.1008 96.0581
November 95.0905 93.4637 94.5755
December 93.5679 91.3561 91.8492